Tropical Cyclone "GEZANI"  Expected to Make Landfall and Impact Madagascar

Over the next three days, influenced by the landfall of Tropical Cyclone "GEZANI" in the southwestern Indian Ocean, eastern and central-northern Madagascar will experience heavy to torrential rain, with localized extremely heavy downpours. Accumulated precipitation is expected to range from 60 to 100 millimeters, with localized areas exceeding 200 millimeters. Regions traversed by "GEZANI" will face winds of 6 to 8 on the Beaufort scale, with gusts reaching 9 to 10. Attention should be given to potential secondary disasters such as flash floods, landslides, and urban waterlogging caused by the intense rain and wind.

Figure 1: 500 hPa Geopotential Height (units: dagpm) and 850 hPa Wind Field (units: m/s) at 20:00 (Beijing Time) on February 10, 2026

Figure 2: Accumulated Precipitation from 20:00 on February 9 to 20:00 on February 12, 2026 (Beijing Time) (Unit: mm)

Figure 3: Maximum 24-hour Gust Speed at 08:00 (Beijing Time) on February 11, 2026 (Unit: m/s)

https://www.wmc-bj.net

Author: Meng Qingtao, Xu Runjie, Liu Tao                               Reviewer: Zhang Bo, Dong Lin 

English reviewer:Wang Yi                                                                       Issue approver:Dai Kan