Cold Waves Expected in Tajikistan, Afghanistan, and Neighboring Areas

    Influenced by an eastward-moving cold wave (Figure 1), temperatures are expected to drop by 8-12℃ in Tajikistan, eastern Kyrgyzstan, eastern Kazakhstan, and the mountainous regions of Afghanistan and northern Pakistan from the 13th to the 15th, with localized decreases exceeding 16℃ (Figure 2). Meanwhile, most of the aforementioned areas will experience moderate to heavy snow, with localized intense to extreme snowstorms. Accumulated snowfall will range from 10 to 30 mm, reaching over 40 mm in localized areas (Figure 3).

This cold wave exhibits a certain degree of extremity. Attention should be paid to the adverse impacts of severe wind and snow on local sectors such as power facilities and transportation.

Figure 1 Forecast of 500 hPa Geopotential Height (units: dagpm) and 850 hPa Wind Field (units: m/s) at 12:00 UTC on November 14, 2026

Figure 2  48-hour change in 2-meter temperature at 00:00 UTC on November 14, 2026 (Unit: °C)

Figure 3  Accumulated Snowfall from 12:00 UTC on November 12, 2026, to 12:00 UTC on November 15, 2026 (Unit: mm)

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Author: You Yuan                                 Reviewer: Huang Wei 

English reviewer:Wang Yi                                                                       Issue approver:Dai Kan