Significant Precipitation Expected in Venezuela over the Next Three Days

According to the official determination by the China Earthquake Networks Center (CENC), a magnitude 7.1 earthquake struck Venezuela (10.35°N, 68.35°W) at 06:04 Beijing Time on June 25, with a focal depth of 10 km. Furthermore, citing reports from Xinhua News Agency and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), a subsequent magnitude 7.5 earthquake occurred in northern Venezuela near Morón (10.40°N, 68.32°W) less than one minute later, also at a depth of 10 km. The epicenters of these events are in close proximity (Figure 1 and 2).

Driven by the equatorial trough and associated low-level easterly flow (Figure 3), light to moderate rainfall is forecast to affect most of Venezuela from June 25 to 27, with localized heavy rainfall anticipated in the south (Figure 4). Specifically, on the 25th, moderate to heavy rain is expected across Portuguesa, Bolívar, Apure, and Amazonas states. Precipitation will generally weaken on the 26th, with scattered light rain or showers prevailing nationwide, though localized heavy rain may occur in southwestern regions. By the 27th, northern areas will primarily experience light rain, while the southern regions will continue to see moderate to heavy rainfall.

Figure 1：FY-3F true-color imagery over the Venezuelan epicentral region (24 June 2026, UTC).

Figure 2：Enhanced infrared (10.8 μm) brightness temperature imagery from geostationary satellite over the Venezuelan epicentral region (01:00 UTC, 25 June 2026).

Figure 3：Forecast of 500-hPa geopotential height (contours, unit: dagpm) and 850-hPa wind field (wind barbs, unit: m/s) at 12:00 UTC on 25 June 2026.

Figure 4：Forecast of 500-hPa geopotential height (contours, unit: dagpm) and 850-hPa wind field (wind barbs, unit: m/s) at 12:00 UTC on 25 June 2026.

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Author: Che Jinning                                Reviewer: Cai Xiangning 

English reviewer: Wang Yi                            Issue approver: Dai Kan