Heavy Rainfall Continues in Pakistan and Northern India

Over the past week, parts of Pakistan and India have experienced heavy to very heavy rainfall. The cumulative precipitation in these regions has reached 40-90 mm, with localized areas exceeding 110 mm (Figure 1).

It is forecasted that over the next week, influenced by the Indian monsoon and the southward-moving mid-latitude airflow (Figure 2), northern Pakistan and northern India will continue to experience moderate to heavy rain or showers, with localized heavy downpours or intense rain events. These conditions will be accompanied by severe convective weather such as short-duration intense rainfall and thunderstorms with strong winds. Notably, on the 24th, northern Pakistan will see a significant episode of intense rainfall, with localized rainfall intensity reaching storm levels (posing certain extremity). The cumulative precipitation in most of these areas is expected to range from 40 to 90 mm with some localities potentially exceeding 130 mm (Figure 3).

Attention should be given to the potential secondary disasters triggered by heavy rainfall in the aforementioned areas, including flooding, landslides, mudslides, and urban waterlogging.

Figure 1 Accumulated Precipitation from August 13 to 19, 2025 (Unit: mm)

Figure 2 500 hPa Geopotential Height (contours) and 850 hPa Wind Field (wind barbs) at 00:00 UTC, August 24, 2025.

Figure 3 Forecasted Accumulated Precipitation from August 20 to 26, 2025 (Unit: mm)

Author: Wang Zeyi,Xie Jin                                 Reviewer: Ma Jie 

English reviewer:Wang Yi                                                                       Issue approver:Dai Kan